ETF Analysis
Sharpe, Sortino, or Calmar? Choosing the Right Risk-Adjusted Metric for Your Goal
The three ratios differ only in what they call "risk" in the denominator: Sharpe uses total volatility, Sortino uses downside volatility, Calmar uses...
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A fund tells you it holds 500 stocks, costs 0.03%, and returned so much over five years. None of those answer the question you actually have. Every article here recomputes the figure that does — and shows the working, so you can check it.
ETF Analysis
The three ratios differ only in what they call "risk" in the denominator: Sharpe uses total volatility, Sortino uses downside volatility, Calmar uses...
Documented return predictors decay after they are published — roughly 58% lower post-publication than in the original sample, per McLean & Pontiff (2016) —...
Duration, not credit, is the dominant risk in high-quality bond ETFs — and TLT carries roughly three times BND's. Convexity is real but it is a second-order...
Valuation metrics like Shiller CAPE and earnings yield explain a meaningful slice of 10-to-15-year equity returns, but almost none of next year's — the...
Average wealth sits well above median wealth because compounded returns are right-skewed — a handful of large outcomes pull the mean up while the typical...
Protective puts pay off precisely when you need them, but the continuously rolled premium is a persistent drag — the academic estimate is a few percent per...
The low-volatility anomaly — lower-risk stocks earning competitive or better risk-adjusted returns — has survived decades of out-of-sample testing, but the...
Absolute (time-series) momentum uses an asset's own past return as a binary risk switch: hold when the trend is positive, step aside when it turns negative....
Full Kelly maximizes long-run compound growth in theory, but it assumes you know your edge exactly — a condition that essentially never holds with a...
The 4% rule is a single conclusion drawn from one country's worst historical sequence; Monte Carlo is a method that asks how often a plan survives across...